Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 4.873892 5.266646 5.692482 6.191452 6.763942 7.404981 8.183845
2025-08-03 4.259425 4.794428 5.415060 6.199691 7.182477 8.397783 10.056931
2025-08-10 3.818436 4.408108 5.122070 6.071299 7.335288 9.017589 11.538071
2025-08-17 3.478186 4.087356 4.847805 5.897025 7.361029 9.427491 12.777640
2025-08-24 3.242049 3.866539 4.666379 5.805729 7.462786 9.931878 14.253630
2025-08-31 3.103374 3.754512 4.609717 5.867500 7.776648 10.791030 16.544931
2025-09-07 2.970496 3.636863 4.530775 5.882069 8.011922 11.557905 18.919877
2025-09-14 2.783664 3.432671 4.314530 5.670324 7.858480 11.628662 19.915195
2025-09-21 2.643136 3.282904 4.163512 5.540906 7.819129 11.889885 21.417905
2025-09-28 2.535106 3.171474 4.058865 5.471443 7.867974 12.318679 23.489022
2025-10-05 2.456272 3.096226 4.000989 5.468572 8.028403 12.992616 26.520308
2025-10-12 2.417320 3.074911 4.020171 5.589136 8.422166 14.231530 31.960388
2025-10-19 2.376549 3.051215 4.037727 5.715047 8.858066 15.716077 39.716344
2025-10-26 2.308721 2.984701 3.985892 5.719656 9.063497 16.734885 47.017353
2025-11-02 2.219630 2.882315 3.871980 5.606412 9.016126 17.110634 52.002205
2025-11-09 2.128220 2.772614 3.740830 5.452732 8.866560 17.184572 55.664250
2025-11-16 2.058912 2.693399 3.654122 5.372103 8.861951 17.662387 62.593958
2025-11-23 2.022568 2.662446 3.642803 5.426665 9.156473 19.096363 79.469485
2025-11-30 1.980147 2.620231 3.610627 5.439528 9.359902 20.335728 99.671812
2025-12-07 1.901275 2.518979 3.476994 5.252355 9.080952 19.931073 102.070649
2025-12-14 1.840577 2.444109 3.384192 5.137712 8.961701 20.049132 111.967588
2025-12-21 1.793380 2.388661 3.321258 5.076101 8.961351 20.586848 130.901745
2025-12-28 1.759642 2.353109 3.289986 5.073554 9.103791 21.699238 169.009310